lauren boebert reelection chances
His strategy lay in his measured approach, regularly calling out the congresswomans divisive statements and noting whenever she was traveling the country rather than meeting with constituents in Colorado. Colorado Postcards are snapshots of our colorful state in sound. Boebert won against her Democratic rival, Adam Frisch, by 0.2 percent of the vote in a race that on paper favored Republicans by +9, according to the states independent redistricting commission. The incumbent claimed Frisch was a closeted leftist who would discard his conservative platform once in congress, while the challenger fashioned himself as a competent and tempered alternative. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has an online post soliciting party members across the country to make calls to likely Frisch voters, urging them to fix problems with their ballots. During the campaign, Boebert and Frisch clashed less on policy issues and more on character. Those close calls have candidates and parties already eyeing both seats, especially given control of the House and Senate will be at stake in 2024. Only a few volunteer slots were left through Wednesday. Were confident Lauren Boebert will win re-election, said Courtney Parella, spokeswoman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, whose mission is to elect Republicans to the House of Representatives. While Boebert performed better than Heidi Ganahl, the Republican gubernatorial candidate, in her district, she trailed a bit behind the GOP Senate candidate, Joe ODea. 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Adam Frischs lead over Lauren Boebert shrinks, Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Get to know all 17 Denver mayor candidates , Denver East High student dies more than two weeks after being shot outside school, Adam Frischs lead over Lauren Boebert shrinks to just 64 votes as count continues, Vice President Kamala Harris to visit Denver next week to discuss climate change efforts, Denver spends nearly $8 million on migrant crisis, including almost $872,000 on bus tickets, Colorado grocery stores can begin selling wine on Wednesday. The percentages relate to the chances of winning on Nov. 8 regardless of margin of victory. Do you have information you want to share with HuffPost? But there are also key differences between the two contests. The venue once occupied by extremist Rep. Lauren Boebert's (R-Colo.) gun-themed restaurant, Shooters Grill, is being turned into a Mexican eatery. The material on this site may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with the prior written permission of Cond Nast. Boebert's 2022 midterms race has yet to be called as ballots continue to be counted in Colorado's 3rd District. All Rights Reserved. As for CO-3, even if it is another Boebert-Frisch matchup, it wont be the same race as 22. We can help you keep up. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., addresses attendees to the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit, July 23, 2022. along with the rest of the Republican Party, Trumps Relationship With Jared and Ivanka. But some in the GOP were feeling anxious on election night about Boebert's chances, especially after GOP candidates lost . Boebert is the representative for Colorado 's 3 rd congressional district ( view map ) and is a Republican. His campaign started slowly but eventually garnered national attention and, toward the end of the race, he even outpaced Boeberts fundraising. By the end of the night, Boebert had neither conceded nor claimed victory. Write by: . And other deniers are in . The nail-biter race showed the . Of the four counties where there is still more than two percent of votes to be countedand thus where either candidate is most likely to see a bumpFrisch is leading by an overwhelming margin in three. The presidential race will be the strongest driver for turnout, overall, but in a given district, having a close and attention-grabbing contest further down the ticket can also help boost turnout. More than a week after the midterm elections, incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert was poised to hold on to her seat in Congress even as her Democratic challenger, Adam Frisch, on Thursday narrowed the gap between them enough to force an automatic recount. She is 36 years old. David Wasserman, House editor for Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election analysis newsletter,rated the race as solid Republican but said pundits like him and Democrats clearly underestimated Boeberts vulnerability. . The far-right lawmaker's race against Democrat Adam Frisch remains extremely tight and could be headed for a recount. As of press time, the race was too close to call. Our newsletters bring you a closer look at the stories that affect you and the music that inspires you. Nonetheless, J. Even if Boebert does retake the lead, Seth Masket, a political scientist with the University of Denver, said the margin is far closer than most experts predicted. He also underscored the need to shift to renewable energy sources while indicating that Colorados coal and natural gas could help the country achieve more energy independence during that transition. In 2020, the 18th judicial district race automatically triggered a recount because it came down under the half-point threshold. Almost half of the voters in the district, or 45%, are registeredas unaffiliated voters. Fr nhere Informationen zur Nutzung Ihrer Daten lesen Sie bitte unsere Datenschutzerklrung und Cookie-Richtlinie. HuffPost's top politics stories, straight to your inbox. However, he cautioned that wont necessarily propel him to victory. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert is in position to narrowly win her bid for reelection to the House, so long as a state-mandated recount doesn't change the final tally. The outcome of the race will not affect which party controls Congress. The current spread equals 0.69 percent of Boeberts vote total, but all of those figures could change after the final votes are counted. Woman shot near CU Boulder overnight, suspect is at large, Letters: Proposed age limit for gun ownership in Colorado doesn't make sense, This is unprecedented": Avian flu has killed 12,000 birds in Colorado, Skygazers will have a great view Wednesday of two planets that look like they are almost touching, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot concedes defeat, Southern California home sales fall to all-time low, NYC Mayor Adams dismisses need to separate church and state, declares himself a servant of God, Zero-calorie sweetener linked to heart attack and stroke, study finds, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information. Hes also not the only Democrat candidate in the race; Gunnison veterinarian Debby Burnett also recently announced shes running for the seat. Nov 12, 2022, 02:17 AM EST. Measure advances, despite doubts. This content can also be viewed on the site it originates from. It takes a good days drive to cover Colorado, but well help you do it in a few minutes. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Once the 610,218 ballots cast were retabulated, the losing candidate gained 14 votes, and John Kellner, the eventual winner, picked up 6. ", "The last recount in Colorado was for a statewide election, not just congressional, and only changed the outcome by 13 votes," Boebert's spokesperson said. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Im not gonna get over my skis, so to speak, Frisch said. "You're right. Swing voters in Pueblo, Colorado's "Steel City," say they are getting frustrated with a U.S. representative they see as more focused on her own celebrity than her constituents. Boebert, a Republican, began Thursday with the 1,122-vote lead shed held since late last week, but that shrank to 543 votes out of 326,915 cast by 5:55 p.m., according to the Colorado Secretary of States Office. Erin Mansfield and Rachel Looker, USA TODAY. President Trump was in office when the COVID virus was released from a lab in China," Boebert said in a spiel criticizing pandemic-era mask and vaccine mandates during a . / CBS News. Republican firebrand Rep. Lauren Boebert is dangerously close to being upset by a little-known Democratic rival, a new poll in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District shows. Just 64 votes separate the two candidates. It was the closest congressional race in the nation. Rep. Lauren Boebert Gets Absolutely Schooled By Jamie Raskin Using Trump's Own Words . The political newsletter Punchbowl reported that, at its winter retreat, the National Republican Campaign Committee distributed lists of the House members from each party who won their seats by the narrowest margins: Caraveo led the Democratic sheet, Boebert topped the Republican one. Be prepared to face new late fees. Kirkmeyer, her opponent from last time, is continuing to serve in the state Senate and has not said whether she intends to try again for the seat. ", On Thursday night, the incumbent Republican celebrated on Twitter, writing "We won!" Ballots requiring additional signature verification could be counted until then as well. As of Wednesday, Boebert was ahead by 0.35 percent, but as the final ballots were tallied, Frisch cut her narrow lead in half. Throughout the campaign, Frisch, a former city councilman, had downplayed his party affiliation in the conservative-leaning district, according toCBS News Colorado. Representative Lauren Boebert leaves after a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol on June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. Boebert's midterm race against Frisch is likely . The first few days of this week are likely to bring frustration for those furiously refreshing the vote counts in CO-3. The congresswoman received heavy criticism after claiming that women are weaker than men and need masculinity to balance out that so-called weakness. Report for America is a nonprofit national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms to report on undercovered issues. Frisch said he understood party leaders might prefer to put money into closer districts, as opposed to his district,which the Cook Political Report says the averagenational Republican could win by about seven percentage points. Experts say it's not certain . Heres how. Representative Lauren Boebert leaves after a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol on June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. Boebert's midterm race against Frisch is likely headed to a recount with only 551 votes currently separating them. 0:15. More coverage from the 3rd Congressional District: It quickly became clear on Election Night that hardline conservative Rep. Lauren Boebert would face a tougher-than-expected reelection race . Sie knnen Ihre Einstellungen jederzeit ndern. All rights reserved. at least 117 Republican election deniers and an additional eight election doubters have at least a 95% percent chance of being elected to Congress. Even so, her close race came as an unexpected bright spot for Democrats. FiveThirtyEight had projected her with a 97 in 100 chance of winning re-election. Rep. Lauren Boebert, one of the Republican party's biggest right-wing stars, is locked in a tight reelection battle with Adam Frisch, a Democrat from Aspen running as a "conservative businessman," in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District. Coffmans final reelection bid was the last really competitive House race before 2022. Even if she wins she is pretty significantly underperforming her district, Masket said. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. But for now, Justin Gollob, a political scientist with Colorado Mesa University, said Frisch appears to have the upper hand. In Colorado, a mandatory recount is required if the margin of votes between the top two candidates is 0.5 percent or below. She won51%-45% over her Democratic challengerand lost her home county by nearly 1,800 votes. State officials are investigating whether Boebert broke any laws by cashing in on large amounts of mileage reimbursements from her own campaign coffers. DENVER (AP) U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert's bid for a second term and a toss-up race in a new congressional district highlight the Republican party's bid in Colorado to equalize or even . Some of Pueblo Countys bipartisan citizen elections judges, who open and verify ballots and feed them into the machines, have left for other commitments or exhaustion, meaning there are fewer people on hand to process ballots, Ortiz said. Boeberts Christian nationalist rhetoric has also drawn strong condemnation across the country. One of the biggest surprises on election night in 2022 was that Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO), one of the more controversial members of the House, nearly lost her bid for a second term. Read the latest news from Colorados 3rd Congressional District race between Rep. Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch here. Notably, the Republican state senator whom Boebert beat in her primary endorsed Frisch. Even Frisch is cautious to say whether more money would have helped his campaign or made him look too much like a national Democrat, or created a kind of arms race between the two parties. She has served since Jan 3, 2021. And though her Colorado district is full-on red, it took over a week for Boebert to be declared the winner by just 554 votes. He tweeted his thanks to volunteers who helped voters fix and count ballots throughout the election, one of the closest in the country this election cycle. On Monday, Frisch challenged Boebert to debate five times in Grand Junction at Western Slope advocacy group Club 20's fall meeting, and in other cities throughout the sprawling 3rd Congressional District, including Pueblo, Alamosa, Durango and Rifle, where Boebert operated Shooters Grill until earlier this month when the gun-themed restaurant closed after losing its lease. "Recounts in statewide elections did not reverse outcomes of elections that did not have an exceptionally close margin in the initial count," the study concluded. And I think those more traditional issues are where what happens in CD-8 will swing.. offered Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) some receipts after she tried to rewrite history on former President Donald Trump's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. And a congressional aide testified this year that the congresswoman met with then-President Donald Trumps White House officials before the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, while they discussed what options the vice president had faced with certifying the 2020 election. Boebert, a staunch Trump loyalist, fashions herself as a fighter in a broader cultural crusade for the soul of the nation and earned a spot on the so-called MAGA Squad alongside Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. The states two marquee races in 2024 will be Republican Lauren Boebert in congressional district 3 and Democrat Yadira Caraveo in congressional district 8, both of whom won by extremely slender margins. Frisch, of Aspen, attended congressional orientation in Washington, D.C., this week in case the remaining ballots turned in his favor. When former currency trader Adam Frisch from western Colorado looked atfar-right Republicans who won seats toCongress in 2020, he found something surprising: While many of them won their seats by 20 or more percentage points, his own,Rep. Lauren Boebert, failed to get the same numbers. . There was a lot of investment in the 2022 race by both parties on the state and national level in the last cycle, and that is expected to happen again in 24. Even as a freshman representative, Boeberts brash style gained her national TV appearances, widespread notoriety and a loyal following. The tightness of the race has garnered national attention as Republicans inch closer to the 218 seats that would give them control of the U.S. House. Saunders said most of these unaffiliated voters are not independents and estimates 70% are likely to lean toward one party or another. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert of Colorado outside the Capitol on April 28, 2022. Heres why . Rootin' tootin . Her Christian nationalist rhetoric calling for a religious takeover of America most worried political and religious experts who warned that the comments threatened the countrys democratic foundations. . On Wednesday, Frisch thanked his staff for helping his campaign "beat expectations" while the final votes were being counted. Any recounts requested by a candidate, or other parties, must be paid for by that candidate or other party and must be completed by Dec. 15. Durch Klicken auf Alle akzeptieren erklren Sie sich damit einverstanden, dass Yahoo und unsere Partner Ihre personenbezogenen Daten verarbeiten und Technologien wie Cookies nutzen, um personalisierte Anzeigen und Inhalte zu zeigen, zur Messung von Anzeigen und Inhalten, um mehr ber die Zielgruppe zu erfahren sowie fr die Entwicklung von Produkten. It was designed to be a toss-up, a slice of the state that only barely went for Republican Donald Trump in 2016 and just barely went for Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper in 2020. according to the Colorado Secretary of States Office, cited low enthusiasm for up-ticket Republicans, falsely accused of shooting her neighbors dogs, husband confronted and frightened their neighbors, champion of far-right conservative values, Denver just got a direct flight to this Caribbean island known for music history and vegetarian cooking, Coloradans may have another chance to see the northern lights Monday night, Denver gang member gave 14-year-old permission to open fire on woman with AR-15 after fender-bender, DA alleges, Feds sue water company for rupture damaging Rocky Mountain National Park -- again, Price of gas in Colorado has risen 51% since Suncor's refinery shutdown in late December. Conrad Swanson covers Colorados environment and politics for The Denver Posts political team. 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. But its likely the national party will also have to spend money to defend her seat, just as Democrats will have to put resources into her challenger if they want to have a chance of pulling off an upset. In an election where far-right candidates falteredand Democrats fared far better than expectations, did Democrats miss an opportunity to unseat one of their most outspoken critics? DENVER -. But that shouldn't . Sign up here and we will see you in the morning! Measure advances, despite doubts. Still, he cautioned against assuming help from national Democrats would have put Frisch over the finish line. So we rode for 20 hours and talked to people who do that. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Although the race remains undecided at this time, Boebert has already claimed victory, citing the rarity in which recounts alter the outcome of an election. In close races, campaigns will be going after every single vote to try to gain an edge. Adam Frisch . Adam Frisch said he struggled to get support from Democrats and pundits. Around the time of the DCCC conversation, pundits and pollsters projectedDemocrats would lose the House by a wide margin. Although the report did not analyze House races, its findings suggest that there is a small probability that a recount will give Frisch enough votes to close the gap. Whoever takes on Boebert will need all the financial help they can get; Sandberg points out Boebert has proven to be a strong fundraiser during her campaigns, raising more than $7 million last cycle. GRAND JUNCTION Republican U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert's reelection bid in her GOP-leaning 3rd Congressional District made a startling comeback on Wednesday, cutting Democrat Adam Frisch's lead to about 60 votes. DENVER -- An automatic recount confirmed Monday that Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert won her reelection bid against Democrat Adam Frisch. In many ways, CO-8, the states newest district, is the traditional competitive seat. Birx said she believed the Trump White House bungled a chance to prevent up to 40 . And, Yes, That Includes Melania. Those right-wing voters appreciated her curt demeanor and saw her as an equal and opposite reaction to progressive representatives such as Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez and Pelosi. Lauren Boebert's Reelection Bid Might Be In Jeopardy, As Suggested By A Poll Taken After Her Recent Contentious Debate. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Boebert raised $6.7 million to Frischs $5.2 million, and $2.2 million of Frischs money came from his own pocket. You want to know what is really going on these days, especially in Colorado. As of Thursday afternoon, CBS News estimates that control for the House of Representatives leans in favor of Republicans. Pueblo county clerk Gilbert Ortiz said the elections office still has 1,800 in-person ballots, 5,000 mail ballots and 600 cured ballots to count. Which of these Republicans who won by less than 1% has the best chance at re-election in 2024? FiveThirtyEight's modeling as of Nov. 1 gave Boebert a 97% chance of winning, while Frisch had just a 3% chance. It gaveFrisch an idea:If a moderate Democrat like him could get through a primary, they might be able to beat Boebert in the general election. Julypolling from Keating Research, a Democratic firm, showed Boebert with a 49%-42% advantage, with 9% of likely voters undecided. Drop us a note at tips@coloradosun.com. On top of it all, Frisch served as a tougher-than-expected opponent. Among the most serious issues facing Colorados 3rd Congressional District, which covers the Western Slope and as far east as Pueblo, include an ongoing megadrought within the Colorado River Basin. The next federal election is more than 20 months away, but behind the scenes, political forces are already gearing up for Colorado to be back in the national spotlight. Even more so, recounts have typically expanded the initial victory margin than reduced it, Fair Vote said. Taylor, from the DCCC, said Colorado voters this year stood up to extremism, hate and division and showed that they were not welcome in their state. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo. Dylan Hollingsworth / Bloomberg via Getty Images file. Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait, First published on November 10, 2022 / 3:51 PM. The fact that Boebert looked so vulnerable and just won by a few hundred votes in the 3rd district means Democrats will be taking that race a lot more seriously and probably devoting a lot more resources, said Seth Masket, a political science professor and the director of the Center on American Politics at the University of Denver. Report: Trump Is Blaming Everyone but Himself for the Midterms. U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) may be headed to a recount, after her lead against Democrat Adam Frisch was cut in half to under 600 votes on Thursday, more than a week after Election Day.House . Lauren Boebert's Surprisingly Close Reelection Race Is Likely Headed for a Recount. The margin is slightly larger than what would require a mandatory recount. To Frisch, the slim margin in the election speaks to his ability to build a broad bi-partisan coalition by touting himself as a moderate. 81, of Pueblo, said Boebert never had a chance to get her vote: "I . Wildfires threaten parched areas throughout the district, and the floods or mudslides that follow endanger infrastructure of local and national importance, such as Interstate 70. In Eagle, Pitkin, and San Juan County, the Democrat leads with 71.7 percent, 79.2 percent and 79.5 percent of the vote, respectively. Both Frischs and Boeberts campaigns said they are closely watching the race in anticipation of further ballot drops from counties still counting votes and that neither have reached out to attorneys. Plus the countrys push away from fossil fuels and toward renewable energy sources threatens the states oil and gas industry. In Pueblo County, votes that were both submitted by mail and cast in person on Election Day are still being counted, according to CBS News Colorado. And while false, Trumpian stolen-election rhetoric is already playing out in Arizona (particularly pushed by Kari Lake), it appears that Colorado Republicans are waiting this one out. Republicans' Election Denier Caucus Got Bigger in the Midterms. The former Aspen City Council member regularly called Boebert a member of the anger-tainment industry and criticized her for not passing any legislation in her first term. The straggling tallies reported by election clerks in Mesa, Pueblo and other counties on Thursday came from ballots mailed by Colorado voters outside of the state, which could be counted so long as they arrived by 11:59 p.m. Wednesday. AIR Awareness Outreach; AIR Business Lunch & Learn; AIR Community of Kindness; AIR Dogs: Paws For Minds AIR Hero AIR & NJAMHAA Conference Running in this race, getting to know so many people in my district & hearing your stories has been an honor of a lifetime, Frisch tweeted. A representative of the Moffat County Clerks Office told The Denver Post they plan to report a final tally of just 25 remaining ballots Friday. But she is running for re-election, and the midterms are upon us, and Colorado's 3rd Congressional District voters should know what a vote for Boebert actually means. Frisch is a moderate Democrat who campaigned on issues like fightinginflation and maintaining energy production in his home state. Frisch did not address whether he would run in 2024, but said he is working to understand what went wrong in his 2022 campaign. The results in Lauren Boebert's race against . 2023 Colorado Public Radio. Republican strategist Tyler Sandberg pointed out Caraveo will also go into the 24 election with a congressional voting record. Frischs victory on Tuesday likely relied on many of those disenchanted Republican voters casting their ballots against the congresswoman. Democrat Adam Frisch, a candidate for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, makes an appearance on the campus of the University of Colorado-Pueblo in Pueblo, Colorado in September. On Thursday, it became increasingly clear that the race is likely headed for a recount. Rep. Lauren Boebert, one of the most infamous members of Congress and an ally of former President Donald Trump . After midnight Tuesday, Frisch told The Denver Post he was both invigorated and tired, especially after an 11-day, 3,300-mile run through the district, which took him through 27 counties. Although Frisch repeatedly stressed his business acumen and desire to work with Democrats and Republicans alike, hell join a divided Congress rife with party politics, which will almost certainly make passing substantial legislation a challenge. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert remained in a tight race Friday morning against Democrat Adam Frisch after redistricting made her bid for reelection to her Colorado seat more competitive.. Boebert . Ive not won. The right-wing firebrand is in a race against Democrat Adam Frisch that could be decided by a razor-thin margin. While we narrowly came up short this time, voters will have their say again in two years, he said. With nearly all the votes counted, Boebert is only ahead by 0.16 percentage points or 551 votes. With 96% of the vote tallied,CBS News characterized the race as a toss-up, as Boebert held a slim lead Thursday afternoon. The Lookout is a free, daily email newsletter with news and happenings from all over Colorado. October 6, 2022. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Those reversals took place in a 2004 governor's race in Washington, a 2006 state auditor's race in Vermont, and a 2008 Senate race in Minnesota. Thats under the automatic recount threshold of about 819 votes, a number equal to half of 1% of the top vote-getters tally. He said there could also be about 500 uniformed-overseas ballots to count in Pueblo County. While there are ballots still outstanding, the final number might not be enough for either side to clear the 0.5% advantage required by Colorado state law to avoid a recount.